GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa y Justicia Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tigre Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensa y Justicia Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa y Justicia Res. hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Reserve League, while Defensa y Justicia Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa y Justicia Res.

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Defensa y Justicia Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigre Res.DDWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Defensa y Justicia Res.DWWDW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tigre Res.Defensa y Justicia Res.
27.3Attack63.6
54.5Defence53.0
30.3Form51.5
40.2Power55.0
0.79xG1.66
View match centre →