GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tianjin Teda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tianjin Teda hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Super League, while Tianjin Teda holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sichuan JiuniuLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Tianjin TedaSichuan Jiuniu
47.6Attack45.5
58.7Defence37.9
42.9Form34.8
50.7Power41.0
1.97xG1.01
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