GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/5/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tianjin Teda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Super League, while Tianjin Teda holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaLLDLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ShenhuaDDWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Tianjin TedaShanghai Shenhua
47.6Attack60.3
58.7Defence46.0
42.9Form50.8
50.7Power53.6
1.65xG1.39
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