GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/15/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tianjin Teda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tianjin TedaBeijing Guoan
47.6Attack60.3
58.7Defence57.1
42.9Form54.0
50.7Power58.1
1.29xG1.41
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