GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/1/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Throttur Reykjavik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while IR Reykjavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Throttur Reykjavik hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.2% in the 1. Deild, while Throttur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Throttur Reykjavik

Probability

79.2%

Model confidence

79.2%

Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Throttur ReykjavikWLLLL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IR ReykjavikWLLWD

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Throttur ReykjavikIR Reykjavik
70.4Attack55.6
64.8Defence27.8
63.0Form35.2
65.9Power41.1
3.61xG1.02
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