GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 8/17/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Throttur Reykjavik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fylkir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Throttur Reykjavik hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the 1. Deild, while Throttur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Throttur Reykjavik

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

9.6%

Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Throttur ReykjavikDWWWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FylkirLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Throttur ReykjavikFylkir
72.5Attack68.6
66.7Defence49.0
66.7Form64.7
68.5Power60.5
2.49xG1.27
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