GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 7/29/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Throttur Reykjavik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Afturelding are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the 1. Deild, while Throttur Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Throttur Reykjavik

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Throttur ReykjavikWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AftureldingWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Throttur ReykjavikAfturelding
70.4Attack100.0
64.8Defence43.1
63.0Form68.6
65.9Power68.0
2.62xG1.76
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