Thor Akureyrivs
Keflavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keflavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Thor Akureyri are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Keflavik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Keflavik hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (30.0 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Keflavik holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Keflavik
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
9.4%
Keflavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00