GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IA Akranes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Thor Akureyri are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while IA Akranes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IA Akranes hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (30.0 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Úrvalsdeild, while IA Akranes holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IA Akranes

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

IA Akranes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thor AkureyriLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
IA AkranesLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Thor AkureyriIA Akranes
33.3Attack55.6
18.5Defence33.3
27.8Form40.7
30.0Power44.8
1.42xG2.66
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