GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Thionville Lusitanos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nancy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nancy

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thionville LusitanosWWLLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
NancyLWWWD

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Thionville LusitanosNancy
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.47xG1.70
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