Thionville Lusitanosvs
Nancy
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nancy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Thionville Lusitanos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Nancy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nancy hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nancy holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nancy
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Nancy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40