Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Thimphu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paro are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 25 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/0.60