GGOALVIO

Bhutan · Premier League · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thimphu City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Thimphu City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tsirang are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu City hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.8% in the Premier League, while Thimphu City holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thimphu City

Probability

87.8%

Model confidence

87.8%

Thimphu City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thimphu CityWWWLD

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TsirangLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Thimphu CityTsirang
97.0Attack47.2
78.8Defence41.7
78.8Form33.3
80.9Power42.7
4.18xG0.77
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