GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thespakusatsu Gunma · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Thespakusatsu Gunma are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sagamihara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.3 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the J3 League, while Thespakusatsu Gunma holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

14.2%

Thespakusatsu Gunma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thespakusatsu GunmaLDWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SagamiharaDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
49.1Attack38.6
48.2Defence57.9
40.4Form36.0
47.3Power45.5
1.34xG1.08
View match centre →