The Townvs
St. Louis City II
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/17/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
The Town
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
10.1%
The Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00