GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

The New Saints are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Flora Tallinn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The New SaintsLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Flora TallinnWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
The New SaintsFlora Tallinn
16.7Attack8.3
83.3Defence41.7
50.0Form25.0
53.0Power28.9
1.62xG0.92
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