GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

The New Saints are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Briton Ferry are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and The New Saints hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while The New Saints holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The New Saints

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

13.6%

The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The New SaintsWDWLL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Briton FerryDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
The New SaintsBriton Ferry
33.3Attack50.0
100.0Defence66.7
66.7Form66.7
68.0Power64.8
1.42xG1.25
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