GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/7/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Cove · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

The Cove are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Eastern United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and The Cove hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while The Cove holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Cove

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

The Cove has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The CoveDLWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Eastern UnitedWLWLD

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
The CoveEastern United
43.9Attack37.9
45.5Defence33.3
39.4Form33.3
43.7Power37.2
1.96xG1.14
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