GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 7/25/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Cove · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

The Cove are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide Cobras are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and The Cove hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the South Australia State League 1, while The Cove holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Cove

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

The Cove has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

The CoveDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CobrasDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
The CoveAdelaide Cobras
43.9Attack33.3
45.5Defence31.8
39.4Form30.3
43.7Power33.6
2.03xG0.99
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