Thalwilvs
FC ST. Gallen
SCHEDULEDSwitzerland · Schweizer Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thalwil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Thalwil are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC ST. Gallen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC ST. Gallen hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Schweizer Cup, while Thalwil holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thalwil
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
9.1%
Thalwil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20