Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Täfteå are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Täfteå hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 18.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.7% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Täfteå holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
90.7%
Model confidence
90.7%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60