Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tikveš · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Teteks are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tikveš are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tikveš hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (23.9 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tikveš holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tikveš
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
9.8%
Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80