Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šternberk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Šternberk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hluk are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Šternberk hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 4. liga - Divizie E, while Šternberk holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šternberk
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
11.3%
Šternberk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00