Tepatitlánvs
Durango
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Durango · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Durango have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Durango hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Durango holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Durango
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Durango has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00