GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Durango · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Durango have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Durango hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Durango holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Durango

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Durango has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DurangoNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
TepatitlánDurango
8.3Attack22.2
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power55.1
1.03xG1.66
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