GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Mediumconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CA La Paz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CA La Paz

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

10.0%

CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CA La PazLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánCA La Paz
8.3Attack75.0
16.7Defence58.3
0.0Form50.0
13.0Power57.9
1.07xG2.33
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