Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thimphu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Tensung are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thimphu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Thimphu hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (22.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Premier League, while Thimphu holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thimphu
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Thimphu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00