Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Tensung are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Paro are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 63.7-point power-rating edge (17.8 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.1% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
92.1%
Model confidence
92.1%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 27 · GA 2 · avg 5.40/0.40