Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tenerife are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Getafe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tenerife hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tenerife holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tenerife
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
12.3%
Tenerife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40