Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tenerife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tenerife are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cadiz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tenerife hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tenerife holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tenerife
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Tenerife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40