Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Temperley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Quilmes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Temperley hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
31.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60