Telstarvs
Sparta Rotterdam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telstar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Telstar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sparta Rotterdam are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Telstar hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Eredivisie, while Telstar holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Telstar
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
11.7%
Telstar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60