GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Kostroma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tekstilshchik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Kostroma

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Spartak Kostroma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TekstilshchikDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak KostromaWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TekstilshchikSpartak Kostroma
20.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence73.3
20.0Form73.3
38.7Power72.4
0.71xG1.31
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