GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tecnico Universitario are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.7%

Model confidence

16.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tecnico UniversitarioLWLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tecnico UniversitarioMushuc Runa SC
29.0Attack42.0
58.0Defence50.7
37.7Form40.6
43.2Power46.6
0.91xG0.97
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