GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/11/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Tecnico Universitario are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Macara

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tecnico UniversitarioWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MacaraWWDDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tecnico UniversitarioMacara
27.8Attack44.4
55.6Defence66.7
36.1Form56.9
41.6Power57.0
0.57xG1.13
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