Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
TB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Suduroy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 20 · GA 8 · avg 4.00/1.60