Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
TB are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while NSÍ II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60