Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
TB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hoyvík are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 9 · GA 22 · avg 1.80/4.40