Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tavistock are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Plymouth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Plymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plymouth
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
10.9%
Plymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20