Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paradiso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Taverne are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Paradiso are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Paradiso hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Paradiso holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paradiso
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Paradiso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60