Taurasvs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tauras are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 61.8 against 61.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1 Lyga, favouring a draw with 14.1% confidence, a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
14.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00