GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 7/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tauras · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Tauras are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tauras hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (62.8 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Tauras holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tauras

Probability

86.2%

Model confidence

14.4%

Tauras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TaurasWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FA Šiauliai IILLLLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TaurasFA Šiauliai II
60.0Attack30.0
63.3Defence25.0
63.3Form18.3
62.8Power27.7
3.24xG0.55
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