Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tatabánya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tatabánya are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bicskei are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tatabánya hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the NB III - Northwest, while Tatabánya holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tatabánya
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
9.3%
Tatabánya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00