Tasmania Berlinvs
Erzgebirge Aue
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erzgebirge Aue · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tasmania Berlin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Erzgebirge Aue are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Erzgebirge Aue hold a 54.2-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Erzgebirge Aue holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Erzgebirge Aue
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Erzgebirge Aue has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60