GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 7/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Welco are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Viimsi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ViimsiLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Tartu WelcoViimsi
97.0Attack56.1
54.5Defence66.7
68.2Form57.6
70.4Power60.1
2.07xG1.41
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