Tartu Welcovs
Nõmme United II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 6/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Tartu Welco are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
79.4%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40