GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/21/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Welco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Metta / LU are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metta / LULWLWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu WelcoMetta / LU
100.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence44.4
66.7Form47.2
56.4Power49.5
2.40xG1.74
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