GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

Tartu Welco are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Flora II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

6.9%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoLLLLW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Flora IIWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Tartu WelcoFlora II
97.0Attack81.0
54.5Defence38.1
68.2Form54.0
70.4Power55.7
3.89xG2.01
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