Tartu Welcovs
Flora II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Tartu Welco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Flora II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80