GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Welco are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoWDWWW

GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu WelcoFC Tallinn
97.0Attack43.9
54.5Defence24.2
68.2Form36.4
70.4Power37.0
4.50xG1.04
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