GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 6/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Tartu Welco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Welco

Probability

85.4%

Model confidence

85.4%

Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tartu WelcoWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TallinnWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tartu WelcoFC Tallinn
97.0Attack43.9
54.5Defence24.2
68.2Form36.4
70.4Power37.0
4.50xG1.04
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