Tartu Welcovs
Elva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 4/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Tartu Welco are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Elva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
8.3%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00